There’s not been much to separate these two sides in the Premier League this season, but this match is a must win for both relegation-threatened clubs
Tonight’s clash between Swansea and Southampton will likely decide which of the two will remain in the Premier League next season.
The Saints were mere seconds away from securing a win and safety against Everton on Saturday but Tom Davies’ late equaliser has given Swansea a chance at staying up.
Mark Hughes’ side have been the form team of the pair, picking up five points in their last five matches as opposed to Swansea’s two, and dabblebet offer Southampton to win outright at 7/5 (2.40) .
Having conceded just two goals in their last three matches, the visitors’ defence is finally starting to show glimpses of what they should have been all season.
The fact that Southampton face a Swansea attack that ranks last in chances created, shots on target, and expected goals makes backing a maximum of one team to score at 4/5 (1.80) a solid shout.
This tracks historically as well as, against Southampton, the Swans have failed to score in seven of their last 10 matches and the hosts to score first is tempting at 10/11 (1.91) .
Whilst Carlos Carvalhal’s defence tend to limit damage well, they often fail to keep clean sheets as they have conceded exactly one goal in 39% of their matches this season.
Saints to come out on top?
With that in mind, a Southampton 1-0 win, offered as a correct score bet at 11/2 (6.50) , is certainly plausible as it has been the most frequent result in the last 10 matches between these two clubs.
Swansea and Southampton have combined for one or fewer goals in seven of their last ten league clashes and it’s likely that that trend continues on Tuesday.