Our tipster expects the defending champions to claim a comfortable Carabao Cup semi-final first leg victory against the Brewers on Wednesday night
This semi-final first-leg tie is keenly anticipated, not least because it is the first time that the Brewers have reached this stage of the competition.
Pep Guardiola’s men are hot favourites to progress and, having romped to a 7-0 win against Rotherham in the FA Cup third round on Sunday, City will be keen to establish a similarly convincing lead ahead of the return leg at Pirelli Stadium.
Manchester City have lost just one of their last 11 home ties in this competition and SportPesa go just 1/15 (1.07) that Guardiola’s side establish a first-leg advantage, while the same firm go 35/4 (9.75) that the Brewers hold the hosts.
Nigel Clough’s charges have won five ties to set up this semi-final showdown, with SportPesa offering 21/1 (22.0) that Burton enjoy a sixth successive Carabao Cup win.
City are unlikely to be at full-strength, but Guardiola’s side will still be star-studded. Gabriel Jesus looks set to start along with Phil Foden, Leroy Sane and Kevin De Bruyne are also in line to feature.
Tough test for Clough’s men?
Burton’s last trip to Manchester in this competition resulted in a 4-1 defeat against Manchester United last term and SportPesa go just 20/27 (1.74) that the Brewers are beaten by more than two goals in this game.
The same firm offer 4/13 (1.31) that Guardiola’s team win a match in which at least three goals are scored – that particular play would have landed in both legs of City’s semi-final against Bristol City last term.
The in-form hosts, though, could well overpower their League One opponents on Wednesday night.
Value, therefore, could lie in backing Manchester City to win both halves at 20/27 (1.74) with SportPesa. The selection would have landed in three of City’s last four fixtures in this competition.