Jan Andersson’s side are extremely tough to break down and that should give them the upper hand in this Nations League clash on Monday evening
888Sport make the Swedes 9/10 (1.90) to get their first victory of the tournament here. The draw is priced at 11/5 (3.20) and the same firm are 7/2 (4.50) about Turkey securing three points at the Friends Arena.
This match looks like a classic matchup between Sweden’s reliable backline and a visiting side that regularly find the net, but struggle to keep out opposing teams.
Indeed, both teams to score has landed in each of Turkey’s last five matches but it’s a 19/17 (2.12) shot with 888Sport for this game.
That odds-against quote is largely because Jan Andersson’s men are extremely tough to break down. They conceded just nine times in their World Cup qualification group that also included France and Netherlands – only two of those at home – then came through 1-0 on aggregate in their two-legged play-off against Italy.
They went on to shut out Mexico and Switzerland in Russia and at home Sweden have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven outings including against Denmark and Peru. The hosts are excellent at keeping teams at bay and defending a lead once they get their noses in front, especially in front of their own fans in this stadium.
Turkey have found plenty of joy in the final third but face a step up in class against a team who regularly shut out their well-fancied opponents.
Perhaps more importantly, the visitors didn’t keep a clean sheet in any of their five World Cup qualifying clashes on the road including games against Finland, Kosovo and Iceland.
That failure to keep things tight at the back could be their undoing and at 9/10 (1.90) with 888Sport Sweden look a solid selection as the Nations League enters its second round of fixtures.